23rd June 2016 has been announced by the Prime Minister as the date when the British people will answer this question which will appear in the ballot papers:-
“Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?”
The voter will have the choice:"Remain a member of the European Union" OR "Leave the European Union”.
This question, which is set out in section 1 of the European Union Referendum Act 2015, is possibly the biggest question ever put to the whole of the United Kingdom population in a referendum. (The Scotland independence referendum in 2014 was of massive importance. Voting was confined to the electorate in Scotland). The Prime Minister has said that - " ... whatever your decision, I will do my best to deliver it." In this post, I seek (briefly) to highlight just a few points.
Prime Minister announces the referendum:
— euronews (@euronews) February 20, 2016The Prime Minister's statement to the House of Commons 22nd February 2016
Does the referendum result bind the government in law?
NO since there is nothing in the 2015 Referendum act to try to do this. Politically, it would be very difficult for the present government to ignore a referendum result in favour of leaving the EU.
Information to be produced:
The 2015 Act also requires the government to publish information about the outcome of negotiations and about EU membership:
Section 6 requires:
- a statement setting out what has been agreed by member States following negotiations relating to the United Kingdom’s request for reforms to address concerns over its membership of the European Union, and
- the opinion of the Government of the United Kingdom on what has been agreed.
Section 7 requires:
- information about rights, and obligations, that arise under European Union law as a result of the United Kingdom’s membership of the European Union, and
- examples of countries that do not have membership of the European Union but do have other arrangements with the European Union (describing, in the case of each country given as an example, those arrangements).
The European Council's decision 19th February:
The European Council's conclusions of 19th February are available at European Council. There are four sections in Annex I of this document: A - Economic Governance; B - Competitiveness; C - Sovereignty and D - Social Benefits and Free Movement. The decision results from the renegotiation process spearheaded principally by the Prime Minister and the European Council President Mr Donald Tusk. The document notes that the decision is actually that of the Heads of State or Government meeting within the European Council and THEY have declared it to be legally binding.
In November 2015, the Prime Minister wrote this letter to Mr Tusk setting out his "demands" for a new settlement for the UK within the EU. A proposal from Donald Tusk followed and this was discussed further during February with a view to reaching a final position which is that set out in the Deal of 19th February.
The European Council is made up of Heads of State or Heads of Government together with its President and the President of the Commission. It gives the EU political direction but does NOT exercise legislative functions (Treaty on European Union Art. 15) (TEU).
The decision contains political commitments to try to achieve certain matters. For example, the TEU Article 1 refers to a process of creating an ever closer union among the peoples of Europe. The aim is to amend the TEU (at some time) to clarify that references to ever closer union do not apply to the United Kingdom.
The far from simple question of what may be legally binding is discussed in some detail at EU Law Analysis - The final UK EU renegotiation deal. It seems that the Decision, whilst not described as a Treaty, could be regarded as a ‘treaty in simplified form’ (see the broad definition of a treaty in Article 2(1)(a) of the Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties). The UK government clearly regards it as such a treaty and is going to register it with the United Nations - (see Articles 77-80 of that Convention). Treaties are, of course, binding in international law. Even if it is correct that the decision is such a treaty, there will be some way to go before several aspects of the decision become part of the law of the EU. Several potential stumbling blocks lie ahead and so the outcome on some matters is uncertain at this stage. The UK government will also table some domestic legislation linked to the renegotiation deal.
Here are two assessments of the settlement - Open Europe - What did the UK achieve it its EU renegotiation? Chatham House - Cameron's incomplete negotiation complicates EU vote
Links concerned with legality:
Further material on this is at: Explaining the EU deal: Is it legally binding?
The information published under section 6 of the Referendum Act states clearly (page 33) that the decision is legally binding in INTERNATIONAL law.
Opinion by Sir Alan Dashwood QC - 20th February Sir Alan Dashwood QC
This article by Joshua Rozenberg and published by The Guardian is also of interest
Barrister Blogger - Is the Prime Minister's Brussels deal legally binding?
At the time of writing, it is understood that some form of Parliamentary action is to be taken by the government to emphasize the sovereignty of the United Kingdom. I will comment on that as and when it is published but there is no doubt legally-speaking that the United Kingdom remains a Sovereign Nation even if the government's freedom to act is restricted in numerous areas by EU activity. Legally, in the UK, sovereignty rests with the Queen in Parliament. The important notion of Parliamentary Sovereignty is discussed by the Head of Legal Blog.
See also the discussion by Rhodri Thompson QC at Eutopialaw
Human Rights:
The European Convention on Human Rights (ECHR) is a creature of the COUNCIL of EUROPE and NOT the European Union. There always seems to be endless confusion about this. Leaving the EU (if that's what the people vote for) is NOT at all inconsistent with the United Kingdom's position as a signatory to the ECHR. We know that the government is to announce its plans for British human rights in the near future BUT the UK will be remaining a signatory to the ECHR.
Leaving - what is the process?
This is set out in TEU Art 50 which I quote in full below. In brief, a withdrawal agreement has to be drawn up and a timetable for leaving agreed. This is not likely to be either simple or an overnight event and, after the referendum, one wonders just how quickly the government might act to press ahead with starting the process required by Article 50.
Whenever it starts, there is a lack of clarity about what Article 50 actually requires. It tells us that there is to be an agreement "setting out the arrangements for withdrawal" but the contents of such an agreement are not specified. It may be that the Article 50 agreement does not need to cover all matters and there will be numerous areas to be addressed. In particular, any UK-EU trading relationship may take many years to establish. Then there are many other areas such as criminal justice - e.g. the European Arrest Warrant. If not dealt with by the Article 50 agreement, such topics will have to be dealt with by separate UK-EU treaties.
Article 50 was added to the EU Treaties in 2009 and is discussed at EU Law Analysis.
Article
50
1. Any
Member State may decide to withdraw from the Union in accordance with its own
constitutional
requirements.
2. A
Member State which decides to withdraw shall notify the European Council of its
intention. In the light of the guidelines provided by the European Council, the
Union shall negotiate and conclude an agreement with that State, setting out
the arrangements for its withdrawal, taking account of the framework for its
future relationship with the Union. That agreement shall be negotiated in
accordance with Article 218(3) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European
Union. It shall be concluded on behalf of the Union by the Council, acting by a
qualified majority, after obtaining the consent of the European Parliament
3. The
Treaties shall cease to apply to the State in question from the date of entry
into force of the withdrawal agreement or, failing that, two years after the
notification referred to in paragraph 2, unless the European Council, in
agreement with the Member State concerned, unanimously decides to extend this
period.
4. For
the purposes of paragraphs 2 and 3, the member of the European Council or of
the
Council
representing the withdrawing Member State shall not participate in the
discussions of the European Council or Council or in decisions concerning it. A
qualified majority shall be defined in accordance with Article 238(3)(b) of the
Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
5. If a
State which has withdrawn from the Union asks to rejoin, its request shall be
subject to the procedure referred to in Article 49
There are some interesting points about Article 50 in the Court of Appeal's judgment in Shindler v Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster - a case concerned with voting rights in the EU referendum.
Further reference:
Reuters - FULL TEXT of EU's special status deal for Britain.
There are some interesting points about Article 50 in the Court of Appeal's judgment in Shindler v Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster - a case concerned with voting rights in the EU referendum.
Further reference:
Reuters - FULL TEXT of EU's special status deal for Britain.
I am very grateful for the many kind comments about this post received on Twitter. Thank you.
ReplyDeleteVery helpful, and I’d query only the notion that a non-legally binding NO vote would be very difficult for the government to ignore if that intends to suggest that leaving the EU would then be practically inevitable no matter what. Imagine a NO vote by the narrowest of majorities, which is followed in the subsequent many months by negotiations that do not go well and the crystallization of other problems (breakup of the UK, perhaps). The opinion polls turn strongly against Brexit. The Government which never wanted to leave in the first place finds itself increasingly unpopular for pursuing it, and the other EU members continue to say they’d like the UK to stay. The way would be found.
ReplyDeleteYes, this is interesting. An OUT vote in June will place political pressure on the government to get on with negotiating Brexit but, as I see it, there is no more than political pressure and BOTH the present government AND official Opposition are for remaining as a Member. Whilst David Cameron has said that he will do his best to deliver the decision of the electorate, one wonders just how assiduous he would be.
DeleteNegotiation of a withdrawal agreement under Article 50 TEU is not going to be either simple or quick and, once an agreement is in place, there would no doubt be some timetable for withdrawal and possibly a lengthy timetable.
Much of this is uncharted waters. The scenario you envisage is not beyond the bounds of possibility.
Once the decision to invoke Art 50 is passed to the European Council, then we are out! The next two years are to negotiate terms - if we cannot agree we are still out. If we change our minds we have to re-apply for entry via Art50(5). The invocation of Art 50 raises a question: can this be done by use of the Royal Prerogative alone, or does it need the approval of (both houses) of Parliament?
ReplyDeleteThe leaving process in Art 50(3) is clear enough: either the date the withdrawal agreement comes into force OR date of notification + 2 years (but the 2 years can be extended). One would therefore expect a withdrawal agreement to be reached within 2 years and then leaving would be in accordance with that agreement.
DeleteThe UK could reapply for membership but only via the process in Art 49.
Normally, the executive enter into international agreements and I think that this would be so with the withdrawal agreement. However, that agreement would have to be ratified by the UK and domestic legislation enacted to give effect to it in our domestic law. Such legislation would no doubt repeal the European Communities Act 1972.
If you have further thoughts, would appreciate them. Thanks for your comment.